The enactment of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in 2017 brought with it major changes to the tax code on both personal and business levels. While many taxpayers have not only enjoyed but come to see these tax provisions as normal over the past seven years, many provisions of the TCJA are set to expire at the end of 2025. This makes 2026 and beyond potentially a very different tax landscape than the one we operate in today. This article reviews main provisions of the TCJA that could be affected and what it could mean for taxpayers.
Return of Higher Tax Rates
Lower tax rates were a hallmark of the TCJA. Rates on all income brackets were lowered (except the lowest 10 percent bracket). Without an extension of this act, tax rates will automatically return to their former levels, with the highest at 39.6 percent for federal income taxes.
Look for Return of Lower Standard Deductions; Higher Personal Exemptions; Unlimited SALT Deductions
The TCJA created a sort of trade-off by raising the standard deduction but lowering personal exemptions and limiting the state and local tax deductions (SALT) for itemizers. The reversal of these provisions can be either a net positive or negative, depending on each taxpayer’s situation. Generally, for those who reside in high tax brackets (income tax and/or property tax) or with a lot of dependents, the reversion will be favorable.
Currently, the standard deduction is $29,200 (married filing jointly) or $14,600 (single). These amounts will be almost cut in half to $16,600 and $8,300, respectively.
Offsetting these deduction losses, personal exemptions return. Currently, there are no personal exemptions, but this will go back to pre-TCJA levels adjusted for inflation, approximately $5,300 for each taxpayer, spouse and dependent.
The SALT deduction is capped at $10,000 under the TCJA. This limit will be eliminated; potentially giving dramatic benefit to taxpayers in high-income tax and property tax states.
Finally, it should be noted that materially lower standard deductions may create a lot more taxpayers who would benefit from itemizing deductions versus taking the standard deduction. In addition, the SALT cap, currently at $10,000 per tax return (not per person), will be eliminated.
Tax-Deductible Mortgage Interest on Large Loans
The TCJA limited tax-deductible interest on mortgages taken out in 2018 and after to interest on $750,000 of mortgage debt, versus the previous $1 million cap. This will revert back to the higher $1 million limit.
Lower Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) Exemptions and Phase-Outs
Significant increases in AMT exemptions and phase-out limits were part of the TCJA and, as a result, millions of taxpayers were no longer subject to the AMT. This provision will revert as well, subjecting millions of taxpayers to the AMT. In particular, taxpayers who take large, itemized deductions and benefits from incentive stock compensation schemes will be the most negatively impacted.
Lower Estate and Gift Tax Limits
The TCJA nearly doubled the federal lifetime estate and lifetime gift tax exemption from $7 million to $13.61 million for a single taxpayer. These amounts double for couples making joint gifts. The limits would revert back to the $7 million level. Note that the annual gift tax exclusion of $18,000 per person is not expected to change.
Elimination of 20% Qualified Business Income Deduction and Bonus Depreciation
Pass-through business owners (e.g., S-corps, LLCs) benefitted from up to a 20 percent deduction on qualified business income under the TJCA (subject phase-outs). Business owners also benefitted from bonus depreciation as part of the TCJA – as high as 100 percent at one point. Both of these business-friendly provisions are set to expire completely unless Congress takes action.
Plan For Change
Whatever may be in the near-term, the only constant when it comes to taxes is that they will certainly be here. History teaches us to never get comfortable with the current tax code. The exact iteration of an extension of the TCJA or lack thereof is uncertain at this point, but the provisions at risk are known. For some taxpayers, this article is more of an FYI; while for those with multi-year planning strategies, the time to consider various outcomes and work with your tax advisor is now.
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